Much depends on whether the government can hold its coalition together long enough to pass the legislation. The deal would be the largest of its kind in the country since 2019, according to data compiled by Beirut Financial.
Critics argue the timeline is unrealistic and that the burden will fall disproportionately on small depositors. Executives said demand from Gulf clients had exceeded expectations, prompting plans for a second facility in Tripoli.
What happens next
Critics argue the timeline is unrealistic and that the burden will fall disproportionately on small depositors. Regional peers have moved faster, and the gap is becoming harder to ignore, one former adviser said.
“Capital follows credibility, and credibility is finally being rebuilt.”
The figures, published on Tuesday, compare with a contraction of 2.1 percent in the same period a year earlier. Executives said demand from Gulf clients had exceeded expectations, prompting plans for a second facility in Tripoli.
Critics argue the timeline is unrealistic and that the burden will fall disproportionately on small depositors. Analysts caution that the outlook remains tied to the pace of structural reforms and the political calendar.
Why it matters
Investors have been watching the negotiations closely, with yields on the 2030 notes narrowing by 40 basis points this week. The programme includes technical assistance from the World Bank and a monitoring framework agreed with donors.
A spokesperson declined to comment on the size of the facility, citing ongoing discussions with creditors. Economists expect inflation to ease into single digits by year end if the exchange rate holds.
