Economists expect inflation to ease into single digits by year end if the exchange rate holds. Remittances remain the single largest source of hard currency, accounting for roughly a fifth of national income.

Remittances remain the single largest source of hard currency, accounting for roughly a fifth of national income. Bankers who spoke to Beirut Financial described the mood as cautiously optimistic, with liquidity improving month on month.

What happens next

Analysts caution that the outlook remains tied to the pace of structural reforms and the political calendar. Critics argue the timeline is unrealistic and that the burden will fall disproportionately on small depositors.

“Capital follows credibility, and credibility is finally being rebuilt.”

The deal would be the largest of its kind in the country since 2019, according to data compiled by Beirut Financial. Investors have been watching the negotiations closely, with yields on the 2030 notes narrowing by 40 basis points this week.

Bankers who spoke to Beirut Financial described the mood as cautiously optimistic, with liquidity improving month on month. Bankers who spoke to Beirut Financial described the mood as cautiously optimistic, with liquidity improving month on month.